Washington An Oscar, an Emmy and the Nobel Peace Prize. Will Al Gore now seek the ultimate reward and Oval Office mantel space? Don't count on it.
Odds are that the former vice-president won't risk his Nobel-burnished image and huge public platform with a return to the rough-and-tumble world of presidential politics — at least not in 2008, advisers say.
“We face a true planetary emergency,” Mr. Gore said in a statement shortly after winning the prize on Friday. “The climate crisis is not a political issue.”
Actually, it is. Years after Mr. Gore adopted climate change as his signature issue, Democrats and Republicans alike now face the scientific certainty of global warming and a public that wants something done about it.
Nobody is better positioned than Mr. Gore to ride the issue to the White House.
Several Gore advisers, speaking on condition of anonymity because they are not authorized to share his thinking, said the award will not make it any more likely that he will seek the presidency. If anything, it makes the presidential race less appealing to Mr. Gore, they said, because now he has an international platform and may not want to do anything to diminish it.
One adviser said that while Mr. Gore is unlikely to rule out a presidential bid in the coming days, the prospects of the former vice-president entering the fray in 2008 are “extremely remote.”
“This clearly will help make this campaign he's embarking on on climate change an even larger campaign, and he'll have an even louder voice,” said Donna Brazile, his campaign manager in 2000. “But for now he's citizen Al Gore, and I think he's comfortable being citizen Al Gore.”
“Citizen Al” is 59, young enough to run for the presidency in 2012. For now, look for Mr. Gore to stick with his coy refrain: He has “no plans” to seek the presidency.
Plans, of course, can change.
“I've called Al Gore and urged him to run for president so many times,” former U.S. President Jimmy Carter told NBC's Today show. “He finally told me the last time, 'President Carter, please do not call me.”'
Mr. Carter added, “I can at least do it indirectly through the news media.”
Also indirectly pressing Mr. Gore are scores of Internet-savvy supporters who are raising thousands of dollars for petition drives and advertising in an effort to lure him into the race. One group, Draftgore.com, ran a full-page open letter to Mr. Gore in Wednesday's New York Times, imploring him to enter the race.
Associates of Mr. Gore say the upside of seeking the presidency is obvious to him:
— There is no better place to fight global warming than the Oval Office. The current occupant was slow to acknowledge mankind's role in climate change; U.S. President George W. Bush said through a spokesman Friday that he was happy for Mr. Gore.
— He has the money (Internet stocks made him rich after leaving the White House), the following and the name recognition to launch a serious campaign. An Inconvenient Truth, the global-warming documentary about his work, won an Oscar and an Emmy.
— He is not convinced that the current field is committed to the cause of global warming.
But he also knows that it's late in the cycle and the race has taken shape without him, associates say, with polls showing Democratic voters are satisfied with the current crop of candidates. A losing or nasty political campaign could tarnish his carefully crafted image as a man above politics.
Finally, and perhaps most significantly, Mr. Gore never really had the stomach for tough political fights, which is one reason he didn't make the best candidate in 2000.
Mr. Gore would not be welcomed by the Democratic candidates, especially front-running Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton — the former first lady who had a prickly relationship with him while they were in the White House. In the 1990s, the vice-president and first lady vied for then-President Clinton's political capital as they staked out their futures.
Asked by NBC this week if she expected to face Mr. Gore in the primary fight, Ms. Clinton said coolly, “You know, I think we've got great candidates running. We have a wonderful field.”
“Congratulations!” read the home page of Sen. Clinton's campaign Web site Friday, featuring a picture of the former vice-president. “His dedication and tireless work have been instrumental in raising international awareness about global warming.”
Next to Mr. Gore's picture is a box that says, “Eight things you can do” to help Ms. Clinton become president.